All matches

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden — Alkmaar Zaanstreek, Eredivisie

Netherlands, Eredivisie

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden
2.7DWDLL
—
Alkmaar Zaanstreek
3.0WLDWW
Outcome probability
182557
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden18%Draw25%Alkmaar Zaanstreek57%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1SC Cambuur Leeuwarden18%5.45—
XDraw25%4.07—
2Alkmaar Zaanstreek57%1.75—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSC Cambuur LeeuwardenAlkmaar ZaanstreekCombined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded2.000.672.67
Corners8.411.09.7
Cards1.81.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    SC Cambuur LeeuwardenAlkmaar Zaanstreek
    14Table position1
    7Days of rest2.8
    1Matches in 14 days2
    42.60%Possession59.80%
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Alkmaar Zaanstreek travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 57%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden

  • awayHFC ADO Den Haag1:1
  • homeNijmegen Eendracht Combinatie3:0
  • awaySC Telstar2:2
  • homeFC Twente1:4
  • homeFeyenoord Rotterdam2:5

Alkmaar Zaanstreek

  • homeSC Telstar1:0
  • awaySunderland AFC0:1
  • homeWillem II1:1
  • awaySC Heerenveen3:2
  • homeGo Ahead Eagles5:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Alkmaar Zaanstreek761018:619
2Feyenoord Rotterdam752025:717
3PSV Eindhoven751124:1016
4FC Twente751115:716
5AFC Ajax742121:914
6Fortuna Sittard741213:1413
7SBV Excelsior732215:911
8FC Groningen732215:1311
9Go Ahead Eagles724116:1410
10SC Heerenveen723211:99
11Nijmegen Eendracht Combinatie722312:138
12Sparta Rotterdam712410:175
13SC Telstar71245:125
14SC Cambuur Leeuwarden712410:195
15FC Utrecht712411:245
16PEC Zwolle71156:204

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.