Eerste Divisie

SBV VitesseПВПВВ
—
NAC BredaВВППН
1SBV Vitesse52%model1.93bookmaker2.64
XDraw21%model4.81bookmaker3.80
2NAC Breda27%model3.65bookmaker2.25

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:08, 114 мс

Outcome

SBV Vitesse52%
Draw21%
NAC Breda27%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on SBV Vitesse vs NAC Breda

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

SBV Vitesse look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 52%. Bookmakers price this at 2.64.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

SBV Vitesse

LWLWW
  • awayHeracles Almelo0:2
  • homePSV Eindhoven II3:1
  • awaySV Roda JC0:1
  • homeFC Oss2:1
  • awayFC Den Bosch4:1

NAC Breda

WWLLD
  • homeFC Eindhoven4:2
  • awayBV De Graafschap2:1
  • homeFC Utrecht II2:3
  • awayRKC Waalwijk2:4
  • awaySV Roda JC2:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
7RKC Waalwijk834118:1113
8Alkmaar Zaanstreek II941422:1713
9SBV Vitesse841313:1113
10NAC Breda841317:1713
11FC Volendam840420:1612
12PSV Eindhoven II933314:1612
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.