Serie A

São Paulo FCВПВВП
—
Santos FC Sao PauloВВВВН
1São Paulo FC46%model2.18bookmaker2.06
XDraw28%model3.52bookmaker3.44
2Santos FC Sao Paulo26%model3.89bookmaker3.73
calculated at 04:12, 141 мс

Outcome

São Paulo FC46%
Draw28%
Santos FC Sao Paulo26%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on São Paulo FC vs Santos FC Sao Paulo

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

São Paulo FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 46%. Bookmakers price this at 2.06.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

São Paulo FC

WLWWL
  • homeSC Internacional1:0
  • awaySE Palmeiras0:2
  • homeCA Mineiro2:0
  • homeClube Atlético Bragantino2:1
  • awayChapecoense AF0:1

Santos FC Sao Paulo

WWWWD
  • awayClube do Remo2:1
  • homeCruzeiro EC2:1
  • awaySC Internacional3:2
  • awaySC Corinthians Paulista1:0
  • homeMirassol Futebol Clube1:1

Head to head — score from the perspective of São Paulo FC

  • 02/04/26away · Serie A1:1D
  • 09/21/25away · Serie A0:1L
  • 04/20/25home · Serie A2:1W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
6Cruzeiro EC28136942:4045
7CA Mineiro27117936:3240
8Santos FC Sao Paulo27108941:4038
9Coritiba FBC281081037:4338
10Clube Atlético Bragantino271061133:3136
11São Paulo FC271061132:3036
12Botafogo FR28981141:4535
13EC Vitória28961328:4233
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.