All matches

Samsunspor — Trabzonspor, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Samsunspor
2.3LLLLW
—
Trabzonspor
2.7WLWLL
Outcome probability
262846
Samsunspor26%Draw28%Trabzonspor46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Samsunspor26%28%3.783.52-1.9
XDraw28%26%3.603.83+1.7
2Trabzonspor46%49%2.182.06-2.9

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75book 1.57

No43%

ours 2.34book 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSamsunsporTrabzonsporCombined
Goals scored1.002.003.00
Conceded2.001.333.33
Corners9.38.58.9
Cards0.73.23.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SamsunsporTrabzonspor

Samsunspor 26%, Trabzonspor 46%. The safest is “Trabzonspor or draw” at 75%.

Samsunspor 26%Draw 28%Trabzonspor 46%
1st half
25 · 37 · 37
2nd half
22 · 38 · 41

Bookmakers: 3.52 · 3.83 · 2.06

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

68%1.40
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Samsunspor

  • awayErzurumspor0:1
  • homeCorum FK1:5
  • awayKocaelispor0:1
  • homeFenerbahce0:2
  • awayCaykur Rizespor2:0

Trabzonspor

  • homeGalatasaray4:0
  • awayKonyaspor0:1
  • homeGenclerbirligi5:0
  • awayAmedspor1:2
  • awayFerencvaros0:4

Head to head

  • 02/07/26Süper Lig0:3
  • 08/31/25Süper Lig1:1
  • 05/25/25Süper Lig2:2
  • 01/04/25Süper Lig2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Alanyaspor63218:611
6Fenerbahce631216:610
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137
14Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124
17Goztepe603311:153
18Eyupspor61052:163

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.