Republic of Ireland — Israel, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Republic of IrelandПНВВВ
—
IsraelПВППП
1Republic of Ireland36%model2.79
XDraw28%model3.62
2Israel36%model2.74

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 20:15, 302 мс

Outcome

Republic of Ireland36%
Draw28%
Israel36%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Republic of Ireland vs Israel

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Israel travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 36%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Republic of Ireland

LDWWW
  • awayKosovo0:1
  • awayCzech Republic2:2
  • awayHungary3:2
  • homePortugal2:0
  • homeArmenia1:0

Israel

LWLLL
  • awayAustria1:3
  • homeMoldova4:1
  • awayItaly0:3
  • awayNorway0:5
  • homeItaly4:5

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
42Turkey10010:10
43Hungary10010:10
44Republic of Ireland10010:10
45Serbia20022:40
46Israel10011:30
47Belarus10010:20
48Latvia10010:20
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.