UEFA Nations League

Republic of IrelandПНВВВ
—
AustriaВПНПВ
1Republic of Ireland33%model2.99
XDraw26%model3.83
2Austria40%model2.47
calculated at 07:49, 146 мс

Outcome

Republic of Ireland33%
Draw26%
Austria40%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Republic of Ireland vs Austria

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Austria still look stronger — an away win is rated at 40%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Republic of Ireland

LDWWW
  • awayKosovo0:1
  • awayCzech Republic2:2
  • awayHungary3:2
  • homePortugal2:0
  • homeArmenia1:0

Austria

WLDLW
  • homeIsrael3:1
  • awaySpain0:3
  • awayAlgeria3:3
  • awayArgentina0:2
  • homeJordan3:1

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Austria11003:13
2Lithuania11002:03
3Norway11003:23
4Malta11002:13
5Greece11002:13
6Portugal11001:03
7Kosovo11001:03
8Germany10101:11
9Netherlands10101:11
10Denmark10012:30
11Serbia10011:20
12Andorra10011:20
13Republic of Ireland10010:10
14Wales10010:10
15Israel10011:30
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.