Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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Real Sociedad de Fútbol II — UD Almería, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II
1.5LLWDDUD Almería
2.6WWWWLOutcome probability
262649
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II26%Draw26%UD Almería49%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Sociedad de Fútbol II3.89—
XDraw3.90—
2UD Almería2.06—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal Sociedad de Fútbol IIUD AlmeríaCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners8.37.88.0
Cards3.32.55.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol IIUD Almería14Table position338.00%Possession48.80%6.7Days of rest5.92Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
UD Almería travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 49%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
Form and context
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II
- awayAgrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC1:3
- homeReal Club Deportivo Mallorca0:1
- awayFC Andorra3:1
- homeCD Tenerife1:1
- awayBurgos CF2:2
UD Almería
- awayReal Club Deportivo Mallorca1:0
- homeReal Club Celta de Vigo II2:0
- awayCórdoba CF2:0
- homeCádiz CF3:2
- awayCE Sabadell FC0:1
Head to head
- 03/29/26Segunda División1:5
- 08/29/25Segunda División2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
CD Castellón761014:219
CD Castellón761014:2192
SD Eibar760115:618
SD Eibar760115:6183UD Almería750211:415
UD Almería750211:4154
Burgos CF742111:714
Burgos CF742111:7145
Girona FC741214:813
Girona FC741214:8136
Real Club Deportivo Mallorca74128:313
Real Club Deportivo Mallorca74128:3137
CE Sabadell FC73318:612
CE Sabadell FC73318:6128
Real Oviedo73227:411
Real Oviedo73227:4119
CD Tenerife73228:911
CD Tenerife73228:91110
CD Leganés73226:711
CD Leganés73226:71111
UD Las Palmas731310:1110
UD Las Palmas731310:111012
Real Sporting de Gijón73135:610
Real Sporting de Gijón73135:61013
Granada CF722310:118
Granada CF722310:11814Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:108
Real Sociedad de Fútbol II72239:10815
Real Club Celta de Vigo II72238:118
Real Club Celta de Vigo II72238:11816
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol72236:98
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol72236:98