All matches

Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol, La Liga

Spain, La LigaMatch finished

Rayo Vallecano
2.4DWLWL
2:1HT 2:0
Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol
1.5LLWDL
Pre-match forecastpublished
452827
Rayo Vallecano45%Draw28%Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol27%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.37xG1.89
55Possession, %45
16Shots19
2Shots on target5
3Corners5
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
10Fouls15
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 71 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Rayo Vallecano45%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.561%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 39%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No55%

    Actual: Yes — we had 45%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rayo Vallecano45%2.21—
XDraw28%3.55—
2Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol27%3.77—

Form and context

Rayo Vallecano

  • awayCA Osasuna1:1
  • homeReial Club Deportiu Espanyol2:1
  • awayReal Madrid CF1:4
  • homeReal Racing Club de Santander3:2
  • awayFC Barcelona2:5

Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol

  • homeElche CF1:3
  • awayRayo Vallecano1:2
  • awayCA Osasuna2:0
  • homeSevilla FC1:1
  • awayReal Sociedad de Fútbol1:2

Head to head

  • 09/15/26La Liga2:1
  • 04/23/26La Liga1:0
  • 12/07/25La Liga0:1
  • 04/04/25La Liga0:4
  • 08/31/24La Liga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Athletic Club Bilbao62227:68
11Getafe Club de Fútbol72234:78
12Rayo Vallecano722311:168
13CA Osasuna72236:138
14Real Club Celta de Vigo71428:67
15Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol721410:107
16Real Racing Club de Santander721411:217
17Levante UD61238:125

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.