RAAL La Louvière — Club Brugge KV, Pro League

Belgium, Pro LeagueOctober 10 at 04:15 PM

RAAL La Louvière

1.2LWLDL

—

Club Brugge KV

3.7WWLWL

Outcome probability

RAAL La Louvière7%Draw13%Club Brugge KV80%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1RAAL La Louvière7%14.29—

XDraw13%7.48—

2Club Brugge KV80%1.26—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.06

No51%

ours 1.95

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KVCombined

Goals scored1.001.832.83

Conceded2.001.003.00

Corners8.510.39.4

Cards1.82.03.8

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
RAAL La LouvièreClub Brugge KV
14Table position3
39.00%Possession62.50%
14Days of rest14
0Matches in 14 days0
2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Club Brugge KV travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 80%.
Most likely scorelines:…
3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pick
Risky pick
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