All matches

Preston North End FC — West Bromwich Albion FC, Championship

England, Championship

Preston North End FC
1.2DLLWL
—
West Bromwich Albion FC
1.7LDWWD
Outcome probability
323039
Preston North End FC32%Draw30%West Bromwich Albion FC39%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Preston North End FC32%3.15—
XDraw30%3.36—
2West Bromwich Albion FC39%2.60—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes44%

ours 2.25

No56%

ours 1.80

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPreston North End FCWest Bromwich Albion FCCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.830.331.16
Corners12.712.312.5
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Preston North End FCWest Bromwich Albion FC
    23Table position6
    3Matches in 14 days2
    43.30%Possession50.70%
    7Days of rest7
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    West Bromwich Albion FC travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 39%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Form and context

Preston North End FC

  • awayQueens Park Rangers FC2:2
  • homeLincoln City FC0:1
  • awayWatford FC1:2
  • homeBlackburn Rovers FC2:1
  • homeBristol City FC1:3

West Bromwich Albion FC

  • awayWolverhampton Wanderers FC0:1
  • homeQueens Park Rangers FC1:1
  • awayDerby County FC1:0
  • homeWatford FC1:0
  • homeCharlton Athletic FC1:1

Head to head

  • 04/18/26Championship0:2
  • 10/18/25Championship1:2
  • 01/01/25Championship1:3
  • 11/30/24Championship1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Southampton FC842219:1014
5Wolverhampton Wanderers FC742115:1014
6West Bromwich Albion FC842210:814
7Queens Park Rangers FC834110:713
8Stoke City FC841313:1213
9Bristol City FC841311:1213
10Charlton Athletic FC83327:1012
11Birmingham City FC825112:1111
12Millwall FC832315:1511
13Lincoln City FC83237:811
14Wrexham FC82429:1210
15Bolton Wanderers FC831411:1510
16Blackburn Rovers FC823312:129
17Norwich City FC830516:179
18Sheffield United FC82339:119
19Portsmouth FC72239:108
20Watford FC82247:108
21Cardiff City FC814310:127
22Derby County FC81257:145
23Preston North End FC81168:154
24Burnley FC80449:174

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.