All matches

Portuguesa FC 2:1 Estudiantes de Mérida FC, Primera División

Venezuela, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Portuguesa FC
1.7LWLDD
2:1HT 2:0
Estudiantes de Mérida FC
1.5DLWLD
Pre-match forecastpublished
442927
Portuguesa FC44%Draw29%Estudiantes de Mérida FC27%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.86xG2.08
50Possession, %50
6Shots21
4Shots on target6
1Corners6
4Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
15Fouls21
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 74 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Portuguesa FC44%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.557%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 43%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No52%

    Actual: Yes — we had 48%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Portuguesa FC44%42%2.262.38+2.2
XDraw29%32%3.443.10-3.2
2Estudiantes de Mérida FC27%36%3.752.80-9.0

Form and context

Portuguesa FC

  • awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:2
  • homeEstudiantes de Mérida FC2:1
  • awayDeportivo Rayo Zuliano0:2
  • homeZamora Fútbol Club1:1
  • awayCaracas FC1:1

Estudiantes de Mérida FC

  • homeTrujillanos FC1:1
  • awayPortuguesa FC1:2
  • homeDeportivo Táchira FC2:0
  • awayCarabobo FC0:1
  • homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela FC1:1

Head to head

  • 09/16/26Primera División2:1
  • 04/05/26Primera División1:2
  • 09/20/25Primera División0:2
  • 04/11/25Primera División4:2
  • 10/12/24Primera División0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
5Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
6Portuguesa FC301111840:3344
7Universidad Central de Venezuela FC301281044:3944
8Estudiantes de Mérida FC301161335:3839
9Deportivo Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
10Caracas FC24511824:3126

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.