NIFL Premiership

Portadown FCППНПП
—
Limavady United FCВПВВП
1Portadown FC34%model2.96bookmaker2.18
XDraw22%model4.50bookmaker3.58
2Limavady United FC44%model2.27bookmaker2.72

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:11, 141 мс

Outcome

Portadown FC34%
Draw22%
Limavady United FC44%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Portadown FC vs Limavady United FC

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Limavady United FC travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 44%. Bookmakers price this at 2.72.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Portadown FC

LLDLL
  • awayBallymena United FC0:2
  • awayBangor FC1:3
  • homeLinfield FC1:1
  • homeLarne FC0:2
  • awayCliftonville FC1:3

Limavady United FC

WLWWL
  • homeCliftonville FC1:0
  • awayColeraine FC0:1
  • homeBangor FC3:1
  • awayCrusaders FC2:1
  • homeDungannon Swifts FC0:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
8Carrick Rangers FC931511:1510
9Ballymena United FC823312:119
10Limavady United FC83057:119
11Bangor FC91268:195
12Portadown FC90185:191

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.