Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.32
No57%
ours 1.75
All matches
—
Once Caldas SA — CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Once Caldas SA
2.3LLWLLCS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira
1.2LDDLDOutcome probability
6622
Once Caldas SA66%Draw22%CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira12%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Once Caldas SA1.52—
XDraw4.56—
2CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira8.01—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOnce Caldas SACS Deportiva y Cultural de PereiraCombined
Goals scored0.170.170.34
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners9.59.09.3
Cards2.04.56.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Once Caldas SACS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira8Table position202Matches in 14 days353.50%Possession58.50%4.1Days of rest4.2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour Once Caldas SA: a home win is rated at 66%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
71%
Form and context
Once Caldas SA
- homeCA Bucaramanga1:3
- awayAD Pasto0:1
- homeClub Deportes Tolima SA1:0
- homeAsociación Deportivo Cali1:2
- awayDeportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA0:2
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira
- homeIndependiente Santa Fe SA1:2
- homeCD La Equidad Seguros SA0:0
- awayRionegro Águilas SA2:2
- homeCA Bucaramanga1:3
- homeMillonarios FC SA1:1
Head to head
- 04/10/26Categoria Primera A0:0
- 09/06/25Categoria Primera A1:0
- 08/03/25Categoria Primera A1:2
- 03/22/25Categoria Primera A1:1
- 02/20/25Categoria Primera A3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Asociación Deportivo Cali30139837:2448
Asociación Deportivo Cali30139837:24487
Millonarios FC SA321211949:3447
Millonarios FC SA321211949:34478Once Caldas SA321113847:4046
Once Caldas SA321113847:40469
Deportivo Independiente Medellín301371045:3946
Deportivo Independiente Medellín301371045:394610
CA Bucaramanga291013643:2943
CA Bucaramanga291013643:294311
AD Pasto321261438:4642
AD Pasto321261438:464212
CD La Equidad Seguros SA339131141:5240
CD La Equidad Seguros SA339131141:524013
Rionegro Águilas SA299101032:4037
Rionegro Águilas SA299101032:403714
Club Llaneros SA308121031:3436
Club Llaneros SA308121031:343615
Fortaleza CEIF FC306131135:4531
Fortaleza CEIF FC306131135:453116
Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo306101433:5428
Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo306101433:542817
Alianza Valledupar FC306101424:4828
Alianza Valledupar FC306101424:482818
Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA29841725:5028
Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA29841725:502819
Jaguares de Córdoba FC29671631:5125
Jaguares de Córdoba FC29671631:512520CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira292121522:4518
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira292121522:4518