Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Olympique de Marseille — Le Havre AC, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille
2.3LLLLLLe Havre AC
1.2LDLDLOutcome probability
661915
Olympique de Marseille66%Draw19%Le Havre AC15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Olympique de Marseille1.52—
XDraw5.25—
2Le Havre AC6.56—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOlympique de MarseilleLe Havre ACCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners8.010.89.4
Cards2.01.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Olympique de MarseilleLe Havre AC4Matches in 14 days13Days of rest742.00%Possession48.00%17Table position18 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour Olympique de Marseille: a home win is rated at 66%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Form and context
Olympique de Marseille
- homeParis Saint-Germain FC1:2
- awayBeşiktaş1:4
- awayStade Rennais FC0:1
- homeParis FC2:3
- awayAS Monaco FC0:2
Le Havre AC
- awayToulouse FC2:3
- homeAngers Sporting Club de l'Ouest0:0
- homeStade Brestois 291:2
- awayOlympique Lyonnais1:1
- homeAS Monaco FC0:1
Head to head
- 05/10/26Ligue 11:0
- 10/18/25Ligue 16:2
- 05/10/25Ligue 13:1
- 01/05/25Ligue 15:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15
Racing Club de Lens51139:94
Racing Club de Lens51139:9416
Espérance Sportive Troyes Aube Champagne51134:114
Espérance Sportive Troyes Aube Champagne51134:11417Olympique de Marseille51047:83
Olympique de Marseille51047:8318Le Havre AC50234:72
Le Havre AC50234:72