UEFA Nations League

NorwayПВВПВ
—
PortugalПВНВН
1Norway12%model8.58bookmaker2.74
XDraw13%model7.75bookmaker3.58
2Portugal75%model1.33bookmaker2.58

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 169 мс

Outcome

Norway12%
Draw13%
Portugal75%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Norway vs Portugal

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Portugal still look stronger — an away win is rated at 75%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Norway

LWWLW
  • homeEngland1:2
  • awayBrazil2:1
  • awayIvory Coast2:1
  • homeFrance1:4
  • homeSenegal3:2

Portugal

LWDWD
  • homeSpain0:1
  • homeCroatia2:1
  • awayColombia0:0
  • homeUzbekistan5:0
  • homeCongo DR1:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Норвегия vs Португалия: prediction and stats — VARstats