Netherlands — Serbia, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

NetherlandsВННВВ
—
SerbiaППВПВ
1Netherlands47%model2.13
XDraw26%model3.83
2Serbia27%model3.70

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

calculated at 20:15, 243 мс

Outcome

Netherlands47%
Draw26%
Serbia27%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Netherlands vs Serbia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Netherlands look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 47%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Netherlands

WDDWW
  • awaySerbia2:1
  • homeGermany1:1
  • homeMorocco1:1
  • awayTunisia3:1
  • homeSweden5:1

Serbia

LLWLW
  • homeNetherlands1:2
  • homeGreece1:2
  • homeLatvia2:1
  • awayEngland0:2
  • awayAndorra3:1

Head to head — score from the perspective of Netherlands

  • 09/27/26away · UEFA Nations League2:1W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Austria22006:26
2Lithuania21103:14
3Netherlands21103:24
4Finland11007:03
5Switzerland11003:03
6Belgium11002:03
7Albania11002:03
8Slovakia11002:03
9Armenia11002:03
10Denmark21014:33
11Spain11003:23
12Norway11003:23
13Croatia11002:13
14Luxembourg11002:13
15Malta11002:13
16Greece11002:13
17Sweden11002:13
18Montenegro11002:13
19Northern Ireland11001:03
20Portugal11001:03
21Ukraine11001:03
22France11001:03
23Kosovo21012:33
24Kazakhstan10101:11
25Iceland10101:11
26Azerbaijan10101:11
27Faroe Islands10101:11
28Germany10101:11
29Estonia10101:11
30Scotland10100:01
31Poland10100:01
32Gibraltar10100:01
33Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
34Slovenia10100:01
35Andorra20111:21
36England10012:30
37Romania10011:20
38Czech Republic10011:20
39Bulgaria10011:20
40Cyprus10011:20
41Georgia10010:10
42Turkey10010:10
43Hungary10010:10
44Republic of Ireland10010:10
45Serbia20022:40
46Israel10011:30
47Belarus10010:20
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.