UEFA Nations League

NetherlandsНВВНВ
GermanyНПВВВ
1Netherlands42%model2.41bookmaker2.43
XDraw21%model4.88bookmaker3.83
2Germany38%model2.63bookmaker2.79
calculated at 21:05, 165 мс

Outcome

Netherlands42%
Draw21%
Germany38%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Netherlands vs Germany

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Netherlands: a home win is rated at 42%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Netherlands

DWWDW
  • homeMorocco1:1
  • awayTunisia3:1
  • homeSweden5:1
  • homeJapan2:2
  • homeLithuania4:0

Germany

DLWWW
  • homeParaguay1:1
  • awayEcuador1:2
  • homeIvory Coast2:1
  • homeCuraçao7:1
  • homeSlovakia6:0

Head to headscore from the perspective of Netherlands

  • 10/14/24away · UEFA Nations League0:1L
  • 09/10/24home · UEFA Nations League2:2D

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Нидерланды vs Германия: prediction and stats — VARstats