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Moreirense FC 3:1 CS Marítimo Funchal, Liga NOS

Portugal, Liga NOSMatch finished

Moreirense FC
1.6DWLLW
3:1HT 2:0
CS Marítimo Funchal
2.3DLLLD
Pre-match forecastpublished
392635
Moreirense FC39%Draw26%CS Marítimo Funchal35%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.18xG0.98
39Possession, %61
11Shots9
5Shots on target2
3Corners5
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
14Fouls16
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 43 of 63void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Moreirense FC39%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.550%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 50%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Moreirense FC39%2.57—
XDraw26%3.91—
2CS Marítimo Funchal35%2.82—

Form and context

Moreirense FC

  • awayVitória Guimarães SC1:1
  • homeCS Marítimo Funchal3:1
  • homeSL Benfica0:4
  • awayFC Porto1:2
  • awayCasa Pia AC1:0

CS Marítimo Funchal

  • awayGil Vicente FC1:1
  • awayMoreirense FC1:3
  • homeSL Benfica0:3
  • awayFC Arouca1:2
  • homeAcademico de Viseu FC2:2

Head to head

  • 09/14/26Liga NOS3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Gil Vicente FC62225:58
10Alverca72239:118
11CS Marítimo Funchal72238:128
12Moreirense FC72238:148
13FC Famalicão71429:77
14Vitória Guimarães SC71245:85

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.