All matches

MFK Skalica — ŠK Slovan Bratislava, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

MFK Skalica
1.3LLDLL
—
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
3.3WDLLL
Outcome probability
1772
MFK Skalica11%Draw17%ŠK Slovan Bratislava72%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1MFK Skalica11%8.96—
XDraw17%5.87—
2ŠK Slovan Bratislava72%1.39—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.09

No52%

ours 1.92

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMFK SkalicaŠK Slovan BratislavaCombined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded2.672.505.17
Corners9.29.89.5
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    MFK SkalicaŠK Slovan Bratislava
    8Table position4
    47.30%Possession54.50%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Away from home, ŠK Slovan Bratislava still look stronger — an away win is rated at 72%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Away

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

MFK Skalica

  • homeŽP Šport Podbrezová0:1
  • awayMFK Dukla Banská Bystrica2:3
  • awayKFC Komárno0:0
  • homeDAC 1904 Dunajská Streda1:6
  • awayMFK Zemplín Michalovce0:2

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

  • awayKFC Komárno2:1
  • homeMŠK Žilina3:3
  • awayParis Saint-Germain FC1:6
  • awayDAC 1904 Dunajská Streda0:2
  • homeMFK Zemplín Michalovce1:2

Head to head

  • 11/22/25Super Liga0:1
  • 08/16/25Super Liga0:1
  • 11/09/24Super Liga1:3
  • 10/30/24Super Liga2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2MŠK Žilina962123:1720
3FC Spartak Trnava953121:1018
4ŠK Slovan Bratislava851220:916
5ŽP Šport Podbrezová942313:1614
6MFK Zemplín Michalovce94149:1113
7FK Košice833221:1812
8MFK Skalica922511:198
9MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komárno90548:145

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.