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Metropolitanos FC 3:0 Caracas FC, Primera División

Venezuela, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Metropolitanos FC
2.6WWWWW
3:0HT 1:0
Caracas FC
1.8DLLWD
Pre-match forecastpublished
522721
Metropolitanos FC52%Draw27%Caracas FC21%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.66xG1.77
28Possession, %72
17Shots17
5Shots on target4
3Corners7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Fouls0
1Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 70 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Metropolitanos FC52%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.555%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Metropolitanos FC52%45%1.912.20+6.9
XDraw27%33%3.693.00-6.2
2Caracas FC21%31%4.863.20-10.7

Form and context

Metropolitanos FC

  • awayZamora Fútbol Club3:1
  • homeCaracas FC3:0
  • awayAcademia Anzoátegui FC2:0
  • awayMonagas SC1:0
  • homeTrujillanos FC4:1

Caracas FC

  • awayAcademia Anzoátegui FC1:1
  • awayMetropolitanos FC0:3
  • homeMonagas SC0:1
  • awayTrujillanos FC1:0
  • homePortuguesa FC1:1

Head to head

  • 09/16/26Primera División3:0
  • 04/03/26Primera División0:1
  • 11/01/25Primera División1:1
  • 10/26/25Primera División2:3
  • 07/13/25Primera División2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Metropolitanos FC30187546:2661
2Deportivo Táchira FC30177649:3158
3Carabobo FC311312647:2851
4Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
5Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
6Portuguesa FC301111840:3344
7Universidad Central de Venezuela FC301281044:3944
8Estudiantes de Mérida FC301161335:3839
9Deportivo Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
10Caracas FC24511824:3126
11Monagas SC24741326:3525
12Zamora Fútbol Club24671124:3525

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.