UEFA Nations League

MaltaВПППВ
—
GibraltarППППП
1Malta41%model2.42
XDraw38%model2.65
2Gibraltar21%model4.77

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 07:47, 140 мс

Outcome

Malta41%
Draw38%
Gibraltar21%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Malta vs Gibraltar

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Malta: a home win is rated at 41%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Malta

WLLLW
  • awayAndorra2:1
  • awayLuxembourg0:3
  • homeLuxembourg0:2
  • homePoland2:3
  • awayFinland1:0

Gibraltar

LLLLL
  • awayLatvia0:1
  • homeLatvia0:1
  • awayCzech Republic0:6
  • homeMontenegro1:2
  • awayCroatia0:3

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
2Lithuania11002:03
3Norway11003:23
4Malta11002:13
5Greece11002:13
6Portugal11001:03
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.