Malta — Andorra, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

MaltaВПППВ
—
AndorraНПППН
1Malta57%model1.75
XDraw25%model3.99
2Andorra18%model5.63

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 18:24, 370 мс

Outcome

Malta57%
Draw25%
Andorra18%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Malta vs Andorra

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Malta look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 57%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Malta

WLLLW
  • awayAndorra2:1
  • awayLuxembourg0:3
  • homeLuxembourg0:2
  • homePoland2:3
  • awayFinland1:0

Andorra

DLLLD
  • awayGibraltar0:0
  • homeMalta1:2
  • homeAlbania0:1
  • homeSerbia1:3
  • awayLatvia2:2

Head to head — score from the perspective of Malta

  • 09/24/26away · UEFA Nations League2:1W
  • 11/19/24home · UEFA Nations League0:0D
  • 09/10/24away · UEFA Nations League1:0W

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
13Croatia11002:13
14Luxembourg11002:13
15Malta11002:13
16Greece11002:13
17Sweden11002:13
18Montenegro11002:13
19Northern Ireland11001:03
20Portugal11001:03
21Ukraine11001:03
22France11001:03
23Kosovo21012:33
24Kazakhstan10101:11
25Iceland10101:11
26Azerbaijan10101:11
27Faroe Islands10101:11
28Germany10101:11
29Estonia10101:11
30Scotland10100:01
31Poland10100:01
32Gibraltar10100:01
33Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
34Slovenia10100:01
35Andorra20111:21
36England10012:30
37Romania10011:20
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.