UEFA Nations League

LuxembourgВВППП
—
IcelandПВНПП
1Luxembourg27%model3.72
XDraw22%model4.65
2Iceland52%model1.94

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 147 мс

Outcome

Luxembourg27%
Draw22%
Iceland52%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Luxembourg vs Iceland

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Iceland still look stronger — an away win is rated at 52%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Luxembourg

WWLLL
  • homeMalta3:0
  • awayMalta2:0
  • awayNorthern Ireland0:1
  • homeGermany0:2
  • awaySlovakia0:2

Iceland

LWDLL
  • awayUkraine0:2
  • awayAzerbaijan2:0
  • homeFrance2:2
  • homeUkraine3:5
  • awayFrance1:2

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Люксембург vs Исландия: prediction and stats — VARstats