Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.58
No37%
ours 2.73
All matches
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Los Angeles Galaxy II — Minnesota United FC II, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles Galaxy II
2.3LWWDWMinnesota United FC II
2.0WDWWWOutcome probability
502327
Los Angeles Galaxy II50%Draw23%Minnesota United FC II27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Los Angeles Galaxy II2.00—
XDraw4.43—
2Minnesota United FC II3.64—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLos Angeles Galaxy IIMinnesota United FC IICombined
Goals scored2.172.174.34
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners9.311.710.5
Cards1.30.72.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Los Angeles Galaxy IIMinnesota United FC II5Table position1354.80%Possession53.30%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour Los Angeles Galaxy II: a home win is rated at 50%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
Form and context
Los Angeles Galaxy II
- awayReal Monarchs SLC1:2
- homeTacoma Defiance3:0
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes II3:1
- awayLos Angeles Football Club 21:1
- awayColorado Rapids II3:2
Minnesota United FC II
- homeLos Angeles Football Club 23:2
- awayReal Monarchs SLC0:0
- homeVancouver Whitecaps FC II5:1
- homeColorado Rapids II2:0
- awayHouston Dynamo FC II2:0
Head to head
- 06/16/25MLS Next Pro2:0
- 05/12/24MLS Next Pro0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Chattanooga FC28157656:3952
Chattanooga FC28157656:39524
Portland Timbers II281410437:2952
Portland Timbers II281410437:29525Los Angeles Galaxy II28147758:3649
Los Angeles Galaxy II28147758:36496
Houston Dynamo FC II28146853:3348
Houston Dynamo FC II28146853:33487
Atlanta United FC II28145962:4647
Atlanta United FC II28145962:46478
New York Red Bulls II281351058:4844
New York Red Bulls II281351058:48449
Connecticut United281421259:5244
Connecticut United281421259:524410
New York City FC II281351050:4444
New York City FC II281351050:444411
New England Revolution II28128847:4244
New England Revolution II28128847:424412
Columbus Crew II28127949:4343
Columbus Crew II28127949:434313Minnesota United FC II281261043:3942
Minnesota United FC II281261043:394214
Los Angeles Football Club 228119850:4842
Los Angeles Football Club 228119850:484215
Huntsville City FC281261049:4742
Huntsville City FC281261049:4742