UEFA Nations League

LithuaniaППППН
AzerbaijanППППН
1Lithuania68%model1.47bookmaker2.51
XDraw21%model4.66bookmaker3.16
2Azerbaijan11%model9.41bookmaker3.16
calculated at 21:06, 437 мс

Outcome

Lithuania68%
Draw21%
Azerbaijan11%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Lithuania: a home win is rated at 68%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Lithuania

LLLLD
  • awayNetherlands0:4
  • homePoland0:2
  • awayFinland1:2
  • homeNetherlands2:3
  • homeMalta1:1

Azerbaijan

LLLLD
  • homeFrance1:3
  • homeIceland0:2
  • awayUkraine1:2
  • awayFrance0:3
  • homeUkraine1:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Литва vs Азербайджан: prediction and stats — VARstats