UEFA Nations League

LiechtensteinППППП
LithuaniaППППН
1Liechtenstein0%model303.03bookmaker12.60
XDraw2%model40.65bookmaker4.91
2Lithuania97%model1.03bookmaker1.34
calculated at 21:05, 202 мс

Outcome

Liechtenstein0%
Draw2%
Lithuania97%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Liechtenstein vs Lithuania

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Lithuania still look stronger — an away win is rated at 97%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Liechtenstein

LLLLL
  • awayBelgium0:7
  • homeWales0:1
  • awayKazakhstan0:4
  • awayFYR Macedonia0:5
  • homeBelgium0:6

Lithuania

LLLLD
  • awayNetherlands0:4
  • homePoland0:2
  • awayFinland1:2
  • homeNetherlands2:3
  • homeMalta1:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Лихтенштейн vs Литва: prediction and stats — VARstats