All matches
4:1HT 3:0
Leeds United FC 4:1 Newcastle United FC, Premier League
England, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Leeds United FC
2.9DWDDWNewcastle United FC
2.5WLDWDPre-match forecastpublished
362935
Leeds United FC36%Draw29%Newcastle United FC35%
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
1.62xG1.16
50Possession, %50
15Shots7
6Shots on target5
5Corners5
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
8Fouls13
2Offsides3
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
3 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 40 of 64
- Match result LandedLeeds United FC36%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.552%
- Both teams to score LandedYes57%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Leeds United FC2.77—
XDraw3.49—
2Newcastle United FC2.83—
Form and context
Leeds United FC
- homeCrystal Palace FC0:0
- homeNewcastle United FC4:1
- awayBrighton & Hove Albion FC1:1
- homeBrentford FC1:1
- awayNottingham Forest FC1:0
Newcastle United FC
- homeHull City AFC2:1
- awayLeeds United FC1:4
- homeAFC Bournemouth2:2
- awayTottenham Hotspur FC2:0
- homeLiverpool FC2:2
Head to head
- 09/14/26Premier League4:1
- 01/07/26Premier League3:4
- 08/30/25Premier League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC531116:510
Brighton & Hove Albion FC531116:5104
Brentford FC523010:49
Brentford FC523010:495Leeds United FC52307:39
Leeds United FC52307:396
Liverpool FC52307:49
Liverpool FC52307:497
Everton FC52306:39
Everton FC52306:398
Hull City AFC52216:48
Hull City AFC52216:489Newcastle United FC52219:98
Newcastle United FC52219:9810
Chelsea FC521210:127
Chelsea FC521210:12711
Ipswich Town FC52037:116
Ipswich Town FC52037:116