UEFA Nations League

LatviaПВВПП
—
MontenegroВПВПП
1Latvia12%model8.06
XDraw24%model4.12
2Montenegro63%model1.58
calculated at 23:16, 168 мс

Outcome

Latvia12%
Draw24%
Montenegro63%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Latvia vs Montenegro

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Montenegro still look stronger — an away win is rated at 63%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Latvia

LWWLL
  • awayArmenia0:2
  • homeGibraltar1:0
  • awayGibraltar1:0
  • awaySerbia1:2
  • homeEngland0:5

Montenegro

WLWLL
  • homeCyprus2:1
  • homeCroatia2:3
  • awayGibraltar2:1
  • awayFaroe Islands0:4
  • awayCroatia0:4

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
4Belgium11002:03
5Norway11003:23
6Montenegro11002:13
7Malta11002:13
8Greece11002:13
9Sweden11002:13
10Northern Ireland11001:03
11Kosovo11001:03
12Portugal11001:03
13Ukraine11001:03
14France11001:03
15Germany10101:11
16Netherlands10101:11
17Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
18Poland10100:01
19Denmark10012:30
20Serbia10011:20
21Andorra10011:20
22Romania10011:20
23Cyprus10011:20
24Georgia10010:10
25Turkey10010:10
26Hungary10010:10
27Republic of Ireland10010:10
28Wales10010:10
29Israel10011:30
30Latvia10010:20
31Liechtenstein10010:20
32Italy10010:20

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.