All matches

KS Raków Częstochowa 2:3 Zagłębie Lubin, Ekstraklasa

Poland, EkstraklasaMatch finished

KS Raków Częstochowa
2.5LLWLL
2:3HT 1:0
Zagłębie Lubin
1.8LWWDD
Pre-match forecastpublished
483122
KS Raków Częstochowa48%Draw31%Zagłębie Lubin22%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.35xG1.18
66Possession, %34
21Shots9
7Shots on target4
5Corners2
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
8Fouls18
2Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 64 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    KS Raków Częstochowa48%

    Actual: Zagłębie Lubin — we had 22%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.562%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 38%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No56%

    Actual: Yes — we had 44%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KS Raków Częstochowa48%2.09—
XDraw31%3.27—
2Zagłębie Lubin22%4.61—

Form and context

KS Raków Częstochowa

  • awayMKS Korona Kielce2:3
  • homeZagłębie Lubin2:3
  • homeMotor Lublin SA2:1
  • awayKKS Lech Poznań0:1
  • homeKS Górnik Zabrze1:2

Zagłębie Lubin

  • homeWisła Płock SA0:2
  • awayKS Raków Częstochowa3:2
  • homeGKS Katowice2:1
  • awayKlub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków1:1
  • homeMKS Pogoń Szczecin0:0

Head to head

  • 09/15/26Ekstraklasa2:3
  • 02/14/26Ekstraklasa0:0
  • 12/14/25Ekstraklasa0:1
  • 03/31/25Ekstraklasa2:0
  • 09/22/24Ekstraklasa5:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5MKS Pogoń Szczecin843112:615
6MKS Korona Kielce943212:1015
7Zagłębie Lubin943211:1015
8GKS Piast Gliwice941416:1513
9GKS Katowice840416:1312
10SSA Jagiellonia Białystok840412:1312
11Wisła Płock SA83239:1211
12RTS Widzew Łódź916213:139
13MKS Cracovia Kraków92259:148
14RKS Radomiak Radom92257:208
15WKS Śląsk Wrocław913511:156
16Motor Lublin SA91359:156
17Klub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków812511:175
18KS Raków Częstochowa910812:213

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.