Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.87
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
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Kieler SV Holstein 1900 — Hertha BSC, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Kieler SV Holstein 1900
1.1DLDLDHertha BSC
2.3WWWWWOutcome probability
322741
Kieler SV Holstein 190032%Draw27%Hertha BSC41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kieler SV Holstein 19003.09—
XDraw3.72—
2Hertha BSC2.45—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKieler SV Holstein 1900Hertha BSCCombined
Goals scored0.832.673.50
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners11.811.411.6
Cards3.02.25.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Kieler SV Holstein 1900Hertha BSC16Table position17Days of rest5.256.00%Possession49.40%1Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, Hertha BSC still look stronger — an away win is rated at 41%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 4.5
67%
Form and context
Kieler SV Holstein 1900
- homeVfL Osnabrück1:1
- away1. FC Heidenheim 18460:1
- home1. FC Nürnberg2:2
- away1. FC Magdeburg0:2
- homeFC St. Pauli2:2
Hertha BSC
- awaySG Dynamo Dresden2:1
- awayVfL Osnabrück3:1
- home1. FC Magdeburg2:1
- awayBraunschweiger TSV Eintracht 18955:3
- home1. FC Heidenheim 18464:1
Head to head
- 04/25/262. Bundesliga1:0
- 11/29/252. Bundesliga0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hertha BSC660017:718
Hertha BSC660017:7182
1. FC Nürnberg651016:616
1. FC Nürnberg651016:6163
1. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:1213
1. FC Heidenheim 1846641114:12134
VfL Wolfsburg632115:811
VfL Wolfsburg632115:8115
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:411
1. FC Kaiserslautern63216:4116
1. FC Magdeburg631211:910
1. FC Magdeburg631211:9107
FC Energie Cottbus622214:138
FC Energie Cottbus622214:1388
FC St. Pauli61418:87
FC St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum 184862135:67
VfL Bochum 184862135:6710
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:97
Hannoverscher Sportverein 189662137:9711
VfL Osnabrück62139:127
VfL Osnabrück62139:12712
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:116
SpVgg Greuther Fürth61329:11613
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
DSC Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514
Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:134
Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895611412:13416Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:104
Kieler SV Holstein 190060427:10417
SG Dynamo Dresden61148:144
SG Dynamo Dresden61148:14418
SV Darmstadt 189861145:134
SV Darmstadt 189861145:134