All matches

KFC Komárno — MFK Ružomberok, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

KFC Komárno
1.1LDDDL
—
MFK Ružomberok
1.2LWDLL
Outcome probability
412831
KFC Komárno41%Draw28%MFK Ružomberok31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KFC Komárno41%2.41—
XDraw28%3.59—
2MFK Ružomberok31%3.26—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes42%

ours 2.38

No58%

ours 1.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKFC KomárnoMFK RužomberokCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners11.68.810.2
Cards2.23.05.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KFC KomárnoMFK Ružomberok
    51.20%Possession41.80%
    10Table position12
    7Days of rest6
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour KFC Komárno: a home win is rated at 41%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

KFC Komárno

  • homeŠK Slovan Bratislava1:2
  • awayŽP Šport Podbrezová1:1
  • homeMFK Skalica0:0
  • awayMFK Dukla Banská Bystrica2:2
  • awayMŠK Žilina1:2

MFK Ružomberok

  • awayFK Košice0:2
  • homeMFK Zemplín Michalovce3:0
  • homeFC Spartak Trnava1:1
  • awayFK AS Trenčín1:2
  • homeMFK Dukla Banská Bystrica0:1

Head to head

  • 04/18/26Super Liga1:2
  • 03/08/26Super Liga3:0
  • 02/28/26Super Liga1:1
  • 10/18/25Super Liga1:0
  • 05/17/25Super Liga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8MFK Skalica922511:198
9MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komárno90548:145
11FK AS Trenčín812510:205
12MFK Ružomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.