All matches

KFC Komárno — FK AS Trenčín, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

KFC Komárno
1.1LDDDL
—
FK AS Trenčín
1.4LLLWL
Outcome probability
402733
KFC Komárno40%Draw27%FK AS Trenčín33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KFC Komárno40%2.50—
XDraw27%3.64—
2FK AS Trenčín33%3.07—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.09

No52%

ours 1.92

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKFC KomárnoFK AS TrenčínCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded0.831.672.50
Corners10.010.810.4
Cards2.00.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KFC KomárnoFK AS Trenčín
    10Table position11
    52.30%Possession51.00%
    8Days of rest8
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour KFC Komárno: a home win is rated at 40%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 8.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

KFC Komárno

  • homeŠK Slovan Bratislava1:2
  • awayŽP Šport Podbrezová1:1
  • homeMFK Skalica0:0
  • awayMFK Dukla Banská Bystrica2:2
  • awayMŠK Žilina1:2

FK AS Trenčín

  • awayMŠK Žilina1:2
  • homeDAC 1904 Dunajská Streda1:4
  • awayMFK Zemplín Michalovce1:3
  • homeMFK Ružomberok2:1
  • homeFC Spartak Trnava0:4

Head to head

  • 07/25/26Super Liga1:1
  • 05/03/26Super Liga2:1
  • 04/05/26Super Liga0:1
  • 10/25/25Super Liga1:0
  • 07/26/25Super Liga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8MFK Skalica922511:198
9MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komárno90548:145
11FK AS Trenčín812510:205
12MFK Ružomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.