All matches

KF Gjilani — KF Drenica Skënderaj, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

KF Gjilani
2.1LDWLD
—
KF Drenica Skënderaj
2.0WWLDL
Outcome probability
502525
KF Gjilani50%Draw25%KF Drenica Skënderaj25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KF Gjilani50%1.99—
XDraw25%4.06—
2KF Drenica Skënderaj25%3.97—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.19

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKF GjilaniKF Drenica SkënderajCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners6.27.56.8
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KF GjilaniKF Drenica Skënderaj
    5Table position7
    51.20%Possession39.00%
    3.2Days of rest3
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour KF Gjilani: a home win is rated at 50%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

KF Gjilani

  • homeFC Prishtina1:2
  • awayKF Drita0:0
  • homeKF Ballkani1:0
  • awayUjvara e Malishevës1:3
  • homeKF Dukagjini Klina2:2

KF Drenica Skënderaj

  • homeKF Llapi Podujevë4:0
  • awayKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri2:1
  • homeFC Prishtina1:4
  • awayKF Drita0:0
  • homeKF Ballkani0:2

Head to head

  • 05/09/26Superleague of Kosovo1:2
  • 03/14/26Superleague of Kosovo0:1
  • 11/29/25Superleague of Kosovo1:0
  • 09/25/25Superleague of Kosovo0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3KF Dukagjini Klina73318:512
4KF Drita63218:511
5KF Gjilani732210:811
6KF Ballkani73139:810
7KF Drenica Skënderaj72328:89
8KF Feronikeli72055:136
9KF Llapi Podujevë71068:213

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.