All matches

KF Feronikeli — KF Llapi Podujevë, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

KF Feronikeli
0.7WLWLL
—
KF Llapi Podujevë
1.6LLWLL
Outcome probability
292744
KF Feronikeli29%Draw27%KF Llapi Podujevë44%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KF Feronikeli29%3.45—
XDraw27%3.73—
2KF Llapi Podujevë44%2.26—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes42%

ours 2.36

No58%

ours 1.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKF FeronikeliKF Llapi PodujevëCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.502.333.83
Corners10.06.78.3
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KF FeronikeliKF Llapi Podujevë
    3.8Days of rest5
    8Table position9
    51.00%Possession50.70%
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    KF Llapi Podujevë travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 44%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

KF Feronikeli

  • homeKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri3:1
  • awayFC Prishtina0:3
  • homeKF Drita1:0
  • awayKF Ballkani0:2
  • homeUjvara e Malishevës0:3

KF Llapi Podujevë

  • awayKF Drenica Skënderaj0:4
  • homeUjvara e Malishevës0:4
  • awayKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri4:0
  • homeKF Dukagjini Klina1:2
  • awayFC Prishtina0:4

Head to head

  • 04/16/25Superleague of Kosovo0:1
  • 02/16/25Superleague of Kosovo0:3
  • 10/30/24Superleague of Kosovo2:2
  • 08/18/24Superleague of Kosovo0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6KF Ballkani73139:810
7KF Drenica Skënderaj72328:89
8KF Feronikeli72055:136
9KF Llapi Podujevë71068:213
10KF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri70074:190

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.