All matches

KF Drenica Skënderaj — KF Feronikeli, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

KF Drenica Skënderaj
2.0WWLDL
—
KF Feronikeli
0.7WLWLL
Outcome probability
662014
KF Drenica Skënderaj66%Draw20%KF Feronikeli14%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KF Drenica Skënderaj66%1.51—
XDraw20%5.06—
2KF Feronikeli14%7.02—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes40%

ours 2.48

No60%

ours 1.68

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKF Drenica SkënderajKF FeronikeliCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded1.331.673.00
Corners7.410.08.7
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KF Drenica SkënderajKF Feronikeli
    38.80%Possession51.00%
    7Table position8
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour KF Drenica Skënderaj: a home win is rated at 66%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most cards: Draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

KF Drenica Skënderaj

  • homeKF Llapi Podujevë4:0
  • awayKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri2:1
  • homeFC Prishtina1:4
  • awayKF Drita0:0
  • homeKF Ballkani0:2

KF Feronikeli

  • homeKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri3:1
  • awayFC Prishtina0:3
  • homeKF Drita1:0
  • awayKF Ballkani0:2
  • homeUjvara e Malishevës0:3

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5KF Gjilani732210:811
6KF Ballkani73139:810
7KF Drenica Skënderaj72328:89
8KF Feronikeli72055:136
9KF Llapi Podujevë71068:213
10KF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri70074:190

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.