UEFA Nations League

HungaryППВНВ
—
GeorgiaППППП
1Hungary25%model3.97
XDraw30%model3.33
2Georgia45%model2.23

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 23:14, 245 мс

Outcome

Hungary25%
Draw30%
Georgia45%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Hungary vs Georgia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Georgia travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 45%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Hungary

LLWDW
  • homeUkraine0:1
  • homeRepublic of Ireland2:3
  • awayArmenia1:0
  • awayPortugal2:2
  • homeArmenia2:0

Georgia

LLLLL
  • homeNorthern Ireland0:1
  • awayBulgaria1:2
  • homeSpain0:4
  • awayTurkey1:4
  • awaySpain0:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
22Romania10011:20
23Cyprus10011:20
24Georgia10010:10
25Turkey10010:10
26Hungary10010:10
27Republic of Ireland10010:10
28Wales10010:10
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.