UEFA Nations League

GermanyНПВВВ
—
GreeceНВППП
1Germany41%model2.44bookmaker1.38
XDraw27%model3.77bookmaker5.36
2Greece33%model3.07bookmaker8.35

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:05, 146 мс

Outcome

Germany41%
Draw27%
Greece33%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Germany vs Greece

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Germany: a home win is rated at 41%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Germany

DLWWW
  • homeParaguay1:1
  • awayEcuador1:2
  • homeIvory Coast2:1
  • homeCuraçao7:1
  • homeSlovakia6:0

Greece

DWLLL
  • awayBelarus0:0
  • homeScotland3:2
  • awayDenmark1:3
  • awayScotland1:3
  • homeDenmark0:3

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Германия vs Греция: prediction and stats — VARstats