UEFA Nations League

FYR MacedoniaПППНН
—
ScotlandНППВВ
1FYR Macedonia27%model3.64
XDraw34%model2.96
2Scotland39%model2.58

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 23:13, 114 мс

Outcome

FYR Macedonia27%
Draw34%
Scotland39%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on FYR Macedonia vs Scotland

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Scotland travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 39%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

FYR Macedonia

LLLDD
  • homeSwitzerland0:3
  • awayDenmark0:4
  • awayWales1:7
  • homeKazakhstan1:1
  • awayBelgium0:0

Scotland

DLLWW
  • awaySlovenia0:0
  • homeBrazil0:3
  • homeMorocco0:1
  • awayHaiti1:0
  • homeDenmark4:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
27Faroe Islands10101:11
28Slovenia10100:01
29Scotland10100:01
30Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
31Poland10100:01
32England10012:30
33Denmark10012:30
34Czech Republic10011:20
35Bulgaria10011:20
36Cyprus10011:20
37Romania10011:20
38Serbia10011:20
39Andorra10011:20
40Turkey10010:10
41Georgia10010:10
42Wales10010:10
43Republic of Ireland10010:10
44Hungary10010:10
45Israel10011:30
46Moldova10010:20
47Liechtenstein10010:20
48Belarus10010:20
49Latvia10010:20
50Italy10010:20
51FYR Macedonia10010:30
52San Marino10010:70

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.