UEFA Nations League
FranceВППВВ
ItalyПНВПВ
1France61%model1.64
XDraw20%model5.01
2Italy19%model5.29
calculated at 23:15, 272 мс
Outcome
Corners
Subscribers only
Total 2.5
Subscribers only
Both teams to score
Subscribers only
Model vs bookmaker valuesubscribers
Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.
Model take on France vs Italy
Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.
What drives the numberssubscribers
Form, rest, fixture load and league position
Recent matches
France
- awayTurkey1:0
- homeEngland4:6
- homeSpain0:2
- homeMorocco2:0
- awayParaguay1:0
Italy
- homeBelgium0:2
- awayBosnia Herzegovina1:1
- homeNorthern Ireland2:0
- homeNorway1:4
- awayMoldova2:0
Head to head — score from the perspective of France
- 11/17/24away · UEFA Nations League3:1W
- 09/06/24home · UEFA Nations League1:3L
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| … | |||||||
| 12 |  Portugal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Ukraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 14 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Germany | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Netherlands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Bosnia Herzegovina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Poland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Denmark | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Serbia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 21 |  Andorra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Romania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 |  Cyprus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 |  Georgia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 |  Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Republic of Ireland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Wales | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Israel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 |  Latvia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 |  Liechtenstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Three scenariossubscribers
One pick from each odds range
Markets in detail
Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.