FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1:1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, Russian Premier League

Russia, Russian Premier LeagueSeptember 16 at 05:45 PMMatch finished

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

2.3DLWLL

1:1HT 0:0

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

1.4DWDDW

Pre-match forecastpublished September 16 at 04:18 PM

602318

FK Lokomotiv Moskva60%Draw23%PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara18%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.26xG1.83

56Possession, %44

11Shots18

3Shots on target6

3Corners1

5Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

18Fouls19

0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3

Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast markets: landed 73 of 98void — 2

Match result Missed
FK Lokomotiv Moskva60%
Actual: Draw — we had 23%
Total goals Missed
Over 2.564%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 36%
Both teams to score Landed
Yes61%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1FK Lokomotiv Moskva60%53%1.671.89+6.9

XDraw23%26%4.433.84-3.5

2PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara18%25%5.683.96-7.6

Form and context

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

homePFK Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
awayFK Zenit St. Petersburg1:2
awayFK Baltika Kaliningrad1:0
homeFK Dinamo Moskva0:1
awayPFK CSKA Moskva2:3

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

awayFK Lokomotiv Moskva1:1
homeFK Rodina Moskva2:1
homeFK Krasnodar2:2
awayFK Akhmat Grozny3:3
awayFK Akron Togliatti3:0

Head to head

09/16/26Russian Premier League1:1
04/25/26Russian Premier League0:2
08/31/25Russian Premier League2:2
03/28/25Russian Premier League1:5
10/06/24Russian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

FK Makhachkala940515:1612

FK Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara925213:1411

FK Akhmat Grozny924313:1310

FK Orenburg91627:109

FK Akron Togliatti915311:188

FK Rostov922510:178

FK Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117

FK Rodina Moskva912610:225

FK Fakel Voronezh90366:133

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.