All matches

FK Kolos Kovalivka — FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

FK Kolos Kovalivka
2.0WLDDL
—
FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.6LLDWD
Outcome probability
453124
FK Kolos Kovalivka45%Draw31%FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Kolos Kovalivka45%2.20—
XDraw31%3.25—
2FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi24%4.20—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes40%

ours 2.49

No60%

ours 1.67

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFK Kolos KovalivkaFK Epitsentr DunayivtsiCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners8.69.89.2
Cards3.62.35.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FK Kolos KovalivkaFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
    13Table position6
    48.00%Possession50.30%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    FK Kolos Kovalivka look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FK Kolos Kovalivka

  • awayFK Kudrivka3:2
  • homeFC Karpaty Lviv0:2
  • awayFK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih2:2
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
  • awayFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2

FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • homeFK Livyi Bereh0:2
  • awayFC Dynamo Kyiv0:3
  • homeFK Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
  • awayFK Kudrivka3:0
  • homeFC Veres Rivne0:0

Head to head

  • 03/07/26Ukrainian Premier League0:4
  • 08/30/25Ukrainian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
5FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:412
6FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
7LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:88
8FC Zorya Luhansk72237:118
9FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
10FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
11FC Veres Rivne61324:56
12FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
13FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.