Premyer Liqası

FK KapazВПВПП
FK SumqayıtНПППП
1FK Kapaz27%model3.68bookmaker2.68
XDraw26%model3.91bookmaker3.05
2FK Sumqayıt47%model2.12bookmaker2.38

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

Open
calculated at 11:02, 143 мс

Outcome

FK Kapaz27%
Draw26%
FK Sumqayıt47%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on FK Kapaz vs FK Sumqayıt

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, FK Sumqayıt still look stronger — an away win is rated at 47%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

FK Kapaz

WLWLL
  • homeFK Qabala1:0
  • homeFC İnter Bakı1:4
  • homeTuran-T IK1:0
  • awaySabah FK0:2
  • homeNeftçi PFC Bakı0:1

FK Sumqayıt

DLLLL
  • homeFC İnter Bakı1:1
  • awayTuran-T IK1:2
  • homeQarabağ Ağdam FK0:1
  • homeNeftçi PFC Bakı1:3
  • homeQarabağ Ağdam FK3:4

Head to headscore from the perspective of FK Kapaz

  • 05/02/26home · Premyer Liqası2:1W
  • 02/27/26home · Premyer Liqası3:0W
  • 08/17/25away · Premyer Liqası0:3L
  • 05/11/25home · Premyer Liqası1:0W
  • 03/10/25away · Premyer Liqası0:3L

League table

Таблица чемпионата

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Zira IK63127:810
6FC İnter Bakı51316:56
7FK Kapaz42023:66
8Mil Muğan FK61146:114
9FK Qabala61142:74
10FK Safa61052:113
11Araz FK50234:112
12FK Sumqayıt40133:71

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Капаз vs Сумгайыт: prediction and stats — VARstats