FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2:3 FK Zenit St. Petersburg, Russian Premier League

Russia, Russian Premier LeagueSeptember 16 at 05:45 PMMatch finished

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

2.0LDLWD

2:3HT 1:2

FK Zenit St. Petersburg

3.5WWLWL

Pre-match forecastpublished September 16 at 04:18 PM

233641

FK Baltika Kaliningrad23%Draw36%FK Zenit St. Petersburg41%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.17xG1.56

41Possession, %59

8Shots11

4Shots on target8

9Corners8

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

16Fouls7

0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3

Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score

All forecast markets: landed 63 of 99void — 1

Match result Landed
FK Zenit St. Petersburg41%
Total goals Missed
Under 2.574%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 26%
Both teams to score Missed
No65%
Actual: Yes — we had 35%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1FK Baltika Kaliningrad23%4.33—

XDraw36%2.75—

2FK Zenit St. Petersburg41%2.47—

Form and context

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

homeFK Zenit St. Petersburg2:3
awayFK Fakel Voronezh2:2
homeFK Lokomotiv Moskva0:1
awayFK Rodina Moskva3:0
homeFK Rubin Kazan1:1

FK Zenit St. Petersburg

awayFK Baltika Kaliningrad3:2
homeFK Lokomotiv Moskva2:1
homePFK CSKA Moskva1:2
awayFK Fakel Voronezh1:0
awayFK Spartak Moskva0:2

Head to head

09/16/26Russian Premier League2:3
02/27/26Russian Premier League0:1
09/14/25Russian Premier League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

PFK CSKA Moskva954015:919

FK Dinamo Moskva961214:819

FK Zenit St. Petersburg960319:918

FK Rubin Kazan926112:1112

FK Makhachkala940515:1612

FK Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara925213:1411

FK Akhmat Grozny924313:1310

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.