UEFA Nations League

FinlandППВПВ
—
BelarusННППП
1Finland37%model2.71
XDraw46%model2.17
2Belarus17%model5.90

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 112 мс

Outcome

Finland37%
Draw46%
Belarus17%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Finland vs Belarus

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

The sides are closely matched, and a draw is likelier than usual at 46%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Finland

LLWLW
  • homeMalta0:1
  • awayNetherlands0:4
  • homeLithuania2:1
  • awayPoland1:3
  • homePoland2:1

Belarus

DDLLL
  • homeGreece0:0
  • awayDenmark2:2
  • awayScotland1:2
  • homeDenmark0:6
  • homeScotland0:2

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Финляндия vs Беларусь: prediction and stats — VARstats