UEFA Nations League

FinlandВППВП
—
AlbaniaВППВВ
1Finland34%model2.98
XDraw34%model2.95
2Albania33%model3.07

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 21:07, 157 мс

Outcome

Finland34%
Draw34%
Albania33%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Finland vs Albania

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

No clear favourite here — the teams look evenly matched, with a draw rated at 34%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Finland

WLLWL
  • awaySan Marino7:0
  • homeMalta0:1
  • awayNetherlands0:4
  • homeLithuania2:1
  • awayPoland1:3

Albania

WLLWW
  • homeBelarus2:0
  • awayPoland1:2
  • homeEngland0:2
  • awayAndorra1:0
  • awaySerbia1:0

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Finland11007:03
2Switzerland11003:03
3Austria11003:13
4Lithuania11002:03
5Belgium11002:03
6Armenia11002:03
7Slovakia11002:03
8Albania11002:03
9Norway11003:23
10Spain11003:23
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.