Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.61
No38%
ours 2.63
All matches
—
Feyenoord Rotterdam — Alkmaar Zaanstreek, Eredivisie
Netherlands, Eredivisie
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3.0WWLWDAlkmaar Zaanstreek
3.0WLDWWOutcome probability
522622
Feyenoord Rotterdam52%Draw26%Alkmaar Zaanstreek22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Feyenoord Rotterdam1.91—
XDraw3.87—
2Alkmaar Zaanstreek4.57—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFeyenoord RotterdamAlkmaar ZaanstreekCombined
Goals scored3.832.005.83
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners7.812.09.9
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Feyenoord RotterdamAlkmaar Zaanstreek2Table position151.50%Possession60.50%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Feyenoord Rotterdam look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 52%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
70%
Form and context
Feyenoord Rotterdam
- homeFC Utrecht5:0
- awayPEC Zwolle7:0
- awayFC Barcelona1:5
- awayNijmegen Eendracht Combinatie3:1
- homeHFC ADO Den Haag2:2
Alkmaar Zaanstreek
- homeSC Telstar1:0
- awaySunderland AFC0:1
- homeWillem II1:1
- awaySC Heerenveen3:2
- homeGo Ahead Eagles5:2
Head to head
- 05/10/26Eredivisie1:1
- 09/21/25Eredivisie3:3
- 04/05/25Eredivisie1:0
- 11/02/24Eredivisie2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Alkmaar Zaanstreek761018:619
Alkmaar Zaanstreek761018:6192Feyenoord Rotterdam752025:717
Feyenoord Rotterdam752025:7173
PSV Eindhoven751124:1016
PSV Eindhoven751124:10164
FC Twente751115:716
FC Twente751115:716