All matches

FC Voluntari — SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

FC Voluntari
1.7LLWDL
—
SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA
2.5LDLLL
Outcome probability
272845
FC Voluntari27%Draw28%SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA45%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Voluntari27%3.66—
XDraw28%3.56—
2SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA45%2.24—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.54

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC VoluntariSC Fotbal Club FCSB SACombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.502.173.67
Corners11.69.810.7
Cards2.01.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC VoluntariSC Fotbal Club FCSB SA
    15Table position11
    41.00%Possession54.40%
    7.4Days of rest6.2
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Away from home, SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA still look stronger — an away win is rated at 45%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC Voluntari

  • homeFC Universitatea Cluj0:2
  • awayFC Rapid Bucureşti1:2
  • homeFC Argeș Pitești1:0
  • homeFC Oţelul Galaţi2:2
  • awayCS Universitatea Craiova1:3

SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA

  • awayCS Universitatea Craiova0:5
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploieşti2:2
  • awayFC Dinamo 1948 Bucureşti1:2
  • homeAFC UTA Arad1:3
  • awaySCS CFR 1907 Cluj0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe103437:1013
10AFC UTA Arad1033414:1512
11SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA1033413:1712
12AFC Botoşani1025314:1211
13FC Argeș Pitești103256:1011
14FC Oţelul Galaţi1024411:1510
15FC Voluntari102269:228
16AFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc100196:231

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.