All matches

FC Veres Rivne — FK Kolos Kovalivka, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

FC Veres Rivne
1.5DDWDL
—
FK Kolos Kovalivka
2.0WLDDL
Outcome probability
253243
FC Veres Rivne25%Draw32%FK Kolos Kovalivka43%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Veres Rivne25%3.98—
XDraw32%3.13—
2FK Kolos Kovalivka43%2.33—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes35%

ours 2.87

No65%

ours 1.54

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Veres RivneFK Kolos KovalivkaCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners5.09.87.4
Cards2.03.85.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC Veres RivneFK Kolos Kovalivka
    1Matches in 14 days2
    11Table position13
    7.5Days of rest6.4
    48.00%Possession51.00%
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Away from home, FK Kolos Kovalivka still look stronger — an away win is rated at 43%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 9.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC Veres Rivne

  • awayFC Karpaty Lviv1:1
  • homeFC Zorya Luhansk1:1
  • awayLNZ Cherkasy FC1:0
  • awayFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0
  • homeFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2

FK Kolos Kovalivka

  • awayFK Kudrivka3:2
  • homeFC Karpaty Lviv0:2
  • awayFK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih2:2
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
  • awayFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2

Head to head

  • 03/22/26Ukrainian Premier League0:1
  • 09/20/25Ukrainian Premier League0:0
  • 03/02/25Ukrainian Premier League2:1
  • 08/26/24Ukrainian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
10FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
11FC Veres Rivne61324:56
12FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
13FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.