Both teams to score
Yes40%
ours 2.53
No60%
ours 1.66
All matches
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FC Veres Rivne — FC Shakhtar Donetsk, Ukrainian Premier League
Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League
FC Veres Rivne
1.5DDWDLFC Shakhtar Donetsk
3.7WWDWLOutcome probability
82
FC Veres Rivne5%Draw13%FC Shakhtar Donetsk82%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Veres Rivne19.12—
XDraw7.94—
2FC Shakhtar Donetsk1.22—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Veres RivneFC Shakhtar DonetskCombined
Goals scored0.671.502.17
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners8.27.07.6
Cards2.42.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Veres RivneFC Shakhtar Donetsk1Matches in 14 days011Table position16.1Days of rest1442.20%Possession61.20% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, FC Shakhtar Donetsk still look stronger — an away win is rated at 82%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Away
71%
Form and context
FC Veres Rivne
- awayFC Karpaty Lviv1:1
- homeFC Zorya Luhansk1:1
- awayLNZ Cherkasy FC1:0
- awayFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0
- homeFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2
FC Shakhtar Donetsk
- homeLNZ Cherkasy FC3:0
- homeFK Chornomorets Odessa2:0
- awayPSV Eindhoven1:1
- awayFC Karpaty Lviv2:1
- homePolessya Zhitomir0:2
Head to head
- 02/27/26Ukrainian Premier League0:1
- 08/17/25Ukrainian Premier League0:2
- 04/06/25Ukrainian Premier League0:3
- 09/27/24Ukrainian Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Shakhtar Donetsk760115:418
FC Shakhtar Donetsk760115:4182
Polessya Zhitomir760115:518
Polessya Zhitomir760115:5183
FC Karpaty Lviv742115:514
FC Karpaty Lviv742115:5144
FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:5135
FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:412
FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:4126
FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:787
LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:88
LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:888
FC Zorya Luhansk72237:118
FC Zorya Luhansk72237:1189
FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
FK Livyi Bereh61414:3710
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:6711FC Veres Rivne61324:56
FC Veres Rivne61324:5612
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:10513
FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105