Ukrainian Premier League

FC Shakhtar DonetskВНВПВ
LNZ Cherkasy FCВНПВП
1FC Shakhtar Donetsk58%model1.73bookmaker1.67
XDraw28%model3.59bookmaker3.73
2LNZ Cherkasy FC14%model7.05bookmaker5.50

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 11:04, 150 мс

Outcome

FC Shakhtar Donetsk58%
Draw28%
LNZ Cherkasy FC14%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on FC Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy FC

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour FC Shakhtar Donetsk: a home win is rated at 58%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

FC Shakhtar Donetsk

WDWLW
  • homeFK Chornomorets Odessa2:0
  • awayPSV Eindhoven1:1
  • awayFC Karpaty Lviv2:1
  • homePolessya Zhitomir0:2
  • awayFC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1:0

LNZ Cherkasy FC

WDLWL
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv3:1
  • awayFC Dynamo Kyiv0:0
  • homeFC Veres Rivne0:1
  • homeFK Chornomorets Odessa2:0
  • awayFC Karpaty Lviv0:3

Head to headscore from the perspective of FC Shakhtar Donetsk

  • 04/13/26away · Ukrainian Premier League2:2D
  • 10/05/25home · Ukrainian Premier League1:4L
  • 04/11/25away · Ukrainian Premier League5:1W
  • 10/06/24home · Ukrainian Premier League5:1W

League table

Таблица чемпионата

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Polessya Zhitomir760115:518
2FC Shakhtar Donetsk650112:415
3FC Karpaty Lviv641114:413
4FC Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
5FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:412
6LNZ Cherkasy FC62225:58
7FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
8FC Zorya Luhansk72237:118

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Шахтёр vs ЛНЗ: prediction and stats — VARstats